Unless you are one of our many readers in southern China, you will have noticed a considerable dip in the mercury this morning. As we say hello to December and wake up to the first sub-zero temperatures of this winter, it’s time for the official outlook.
除非您是我们华南地区的众多读者之一，否则您会注意到今天早上气温大幅下降。当我们向十二月问好并在今年冬天的第一个零下气温中醒来时，是时候发布官方展望了。
As we start off 2022, it looks as if we are in for an interesting season here in Nanjing and in Jiangsu Province as a whole. For if climatic predictions are to be believed, it will be a winter characterised by great fluctuations in temperature.
2022 年伊始，南京乃至整个江苏省似乎将迎来一个有趣的季节。因为如果气候预测可信的话，这将是一个气温波动剧烈的冬天。
Before the specifics though, the broader picture. The world in general is in for warmer-than-normal winter, but especially in northern Europe, and western and central Siberia, where warm anomalies are likely to exceed 2 degrees Celsius.
在具体细节之前，先讨论更广泛的情况。全世界都将迎来比正常情况更温暖的冬季，尤其是北欧、西伯利亚西部和中部，这些地区的气温异常可能会超过 2 摄氏度。
The predictions come to us from the Nanjing-based Institute for Climate and Application Research (ICAR). That same body also reveals, however, that there will be a trend towards colder temperatures in southern parts of Africa, Brazil, the North American west coast and north-eastern Siberia.
这些预测来自南京气候与应用研究所 (ICAR)。然而，该机构还透露，非洲南部、巴西、北美西海岸和西伯利亚东北部的气温将呈下降趋势。
On a more local level, the boring part of the news is that we are in for a pretty normal winter thru February, 2022, but only as regards average temperatures.
在更本地的层面上，新闻中最无聊的部分是，我们将在 2022 年 2 月之前经历一个相当正常的冬季，但仅限于平均气温。
According to Jiangsu Meteorology, northern Jiangsu shall experience temperatures 0 ~ 1 degree Celsius lower than the average winter, while in the more southerly parts of the Province, including Nanjing, it will be 0 ~ 1 degree Celsius warmer.
据江苏省气象局预测，苏北地区气温将比常年偏低0℃～1℃，南京等偏南地区气温将偏高0℃～1℃。
But this winter will turn interesting with spells which, while frequent but not particularly lengthy, will be very cold. Northern Jiangsu can expect it to dip to -11 ~ -13 degrees Celsius sometime in January, while in the south, the lows shall reach -9 ~ -11 degrees Celsius.
但今年的冬天将会变得有趣，虽然频繁但不是特别漫长，但会非常寒冷。预计1月份苏北地区气温将降至-11~-13摄氏度，而南部地区最低气温将达到-9~-11摄氏度。
And those average numbers mentioned earlier also therefore imply we will be enjoying the other end of the scale sometimes too, i.e. winter days that are positively balmy.
因此，前面提到的这些平均数字也意味着我们有时也会享受天平的另一端，即非常温暖的冬日。
Predictions are also pointing to a pretty dry winter this year, which will certainly help to keep the chills away from our bones in normally-humid Nanjing. In Jiangsu overall, precipitation through 2021/2022 is set to likely be 10~20 percent less than the average winter.
预测还指出，今年的冬季将相当干燥，这肯定有助于让平时潮湿的南京远离寒冷。总体而言，江苏2021/2022年的降水量可能比冬季平均水平减少10%~20%。
On the healthcare front though, the cold spells will bring on more respiratory illnesses, playing havoc with epidemic prevention efforts. The Nanjinger has but four words of advice. Don’t get a cold.
但在医疗保健方面，寒潮将带来更多呼吸道疾病，给防疫工作带来严重破坏。南京人只有四个字的建议。别感冒了。
